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- # 739 - đ«đŒ DEI was DOA
# 739 - đ«đŒ DEI was DOA
Good morning. Womenâs sports scored a $250M goal, following a landmark investment from Disney CEO Bob Iger and his wife, Willow Bay. Angel City FC is now the worldâs highest-valued womenâs pro sports team, doubling the previous $120M National Womenâs Soccer League milestone. The LA-based soccer club also holds womenâs records for revenue, attendance, and sponsorship income. From blockbuster movies to blockbuster growth, the investment follows a broader breakaway for womenâs sports.
TRENDS
Cost-Cutting, Conservative Backlash, and the Labor Market Is Killing Companiesâ Diversity Targets
BWas diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) a low-interest rate phenomenon? All it took was four years and a labor market downturn to put it on life support â and companies are no longer afraid to prioritize profits over people, especially given the rising political stakes of DEI efforts.
Goodbye DEI, we hardly knew ya: In the aftermath of the nationwide Black Lives Matter protests, companies committed to becoming more inclusive. But four years later, many firms have decided that DEI is simply not worth the money. Large employers have significantly cut their DEI budgets â some by up to 90%. And now, some firms are abandoning diversity commitments entirely, with Microsoft ($MSFT) announcing this week that it eliminated an entire DEI team, calling it âno longer business critical.â
The news follows similar actions by tech firms like Google ($GOOG), Meta ($META), and Zoom ($ZM), which once trumpeted their diverse workforces but have now made âsignificant cutsâ to DEI.
Even media companies have been cutting back. Warner Bros. Discoveryâs ($WBD) CNN axed its race and equality team and Snap ($SNAP) reduced DEI roles.
Mask Off
While companies insist that diversity remains an important part of their business, the death of DEI isnât just financial â itâs another example of how companies are bowing to Conservative pressure.
Over the last year, Republicans at the state and federal levels have filed lawsuits, passed anti-DEI bills, and proposed bans on DEI policies in the government.
In recent weeks, agriculture giants John Deere ($DE) and Tractor Supply ($TSCO) tamed their DEI and climate goals over backlash from a Conservative activist investor.
Forward-looking: Conservatives have successfully pushed some companies to abandon climate targets, support for the LGBTQ+ community, and now DEI â marking a significant reversal of pandemic-era promises made by large corporations. These political tensions could worsen with the upcoming election, potentially exacerbating the culture war and the fabric of American society.
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LARGECAP RECAP
đ EssilorLuxottica Is A Sight For Metaâs Sore Eyes
The future isnât set in stone, but Meta ($META) is planning to frame it beautifully with its next investment. CEO Mark Zuckerberg is exploring acquiring a ~5% stake (valued at $4.9B) in the worldâs largest eyewear manufacturer and Ray-Ban parent company, EssilorLuxottica ($ESLOY), and has already secured clearance from US antitrust authorities â sending the eyewear conglomerateâs shares up nearly 2%.
In an April earnings call, Zuckerberg emphasized his optimistic outlook on smart glasses â stating that they are âone of the bigger areasâ in Metaâs AR and VR initiatives.
Meta and EssilorLuxottica are also planning to target younger consumers with branded smart sunglasses from Supreme, which EssilorLuxottica acquired this week for $1.5B.
More than what meets the eye: Being in the eyewear business isnât too shabby, especially considering the high profitability in the industry that helps EssilorLuxottica generate earnings (before interest, tax, and depreciation) margins as high as 21%. But a slowdown in sales has prompted them to look beyond glasses and into complementary technology. This week, the company also announced the acquisition of an 80% stake in Heidelberg Engineering, which specializes in eye surgery technologies. Eyesight getting worse from doomscrolling IG? Try some Zuck-powered glasses⊠or eye surgery.
đ TSMCâs Earnings Beat Raises Stakes in the AI Chip Game
When it comes to semiconductors, TSMC ($TSM) once again proved it holds the cards â and chips. The worldâs largest chipmaker just aced earnings, posting $7.6B in Q2 profit â a 5.4% beat over FactSet estimates. Riding high on surging processor demand, TSMC also increased its revenue guidance, continuing to bet big on the AI boom despite looming political tension.
$TSMâs Q2 net profit rose 36% year-over-year, while quarterly revenues climbed to $20.6B â a 40% growth since last year.
Demand for AI chips has driven earnings â the high-performance computing group, which encompasses AI chips, now accounts for 52% of quarterly revenue.
Is it a bluff? TSMCâs hand looks strong, as Taiwan-listed shares have risen nearly 70% this year â but geopolitical wildcards could reshuffle the deck. As Goldman Sachs analysts suggest, âthe AI trade is under increasing scrutiny.â Trumpâs recent Taiwan defense comments sent $TSM tumbling, highlighting the companyâs vulnerability to political crosswinds. Meanwhile, the chipmakerâs $65B bet on three new US plants aims to diversify its production beyond Taiwan, but itâs a high-stakes gamble. As semiconductors become a core part of the AI-driven arms race, TSMC must navigate a complex global chessboard to maintain its winning streak.
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Markets & Economy
Economists optimistic despite slowdown: A WSJ survey reveals economists remain confident in the US economic outlook, viewing recent weakness as normalization. They expect inflation to gradually hit the Fedâs 2% target, with most predicting a rate cut in September. [Read]
401(k) fees have declined significantly: Mutual fund fees in 401(k) plans have dropped from around 0.80% in 2000 to 0.31% in 2023, saving billions for retirement savers. Lower fees allow more money to stay invested and compound over time. [Read]
Publicis Groupe raises guidance: The advertising giant reported 5.6% organic revenue growth in Q2, beating Visible Alphaâs 4.6% forecast. Publicis ($PUBGY) also bumped up its revenue growth guidance to 5% to 6% for the year, citing market share gains. [Read]
Business & Wealth
Ford shifts gears on EV plans: Ford ($F) will invest $3B to expand Super Duty truck production, including $2.3B at its Oakville plant in Canada. This reverses previous plans to convert the facility into an EV hub while its commercial business thrives. [Read]
Goldman Sachs targets retail investors: Goldman Sachs ($GS) is partnering with robo-adviser Betterment to offer sophisticated investment strategies previously reserved for wealthy clients. This move aims to boost fee revenue. [Read]
WNBA media rights value rises: The WNBA is set to receive ~$200M annually in new media rights deals, up from $60M. The playersâ union executive argues that the league is still undervalued, given its recent growth and popularity. [Read]
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CHART
DIGIT OF THE DAY
Amazon Bagged A Record $14.2B During Its 48-Hour Prime Day Sale
Itâs that time of the year when saved wishlist items finally make it to checkout. According to Adobe Analytics, American shoppers reached a new high during Amazonâs Prime Day sale, spending $14.2B during the two-day event â an 11% increase from last year. This surge was driven by an early start to back-to-school shopping, spurred on by significant retailer discounts.
During the event, Amazon($AMZN) captured ~60% of total online spending, from the usual 40% on regular days, with the average household spending ~$152 this year.
Back-to-school spending soared 216% over Juneâs daily sales, and electronics sales grew 61% â while the top-selling items included protein shakes, Amazonâs Fire TV Stick, and Glad trash bags (BBG).
Surf, shop, spend: Amazon isnât the only beneficiary of online shopping sprees. Retailers like Target ($TGT) and Walmart ($WMT) have also reported increased online sales, thanks to the growing shift toward online shopping. According to FTI Consulting, US online retail sales are on track to reach $1.2T this year, and e-commerce is expected to account for ~35% of total retail sales in the next decade.
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